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- SYRIA: HOW ISRAEL’S CHAOS STRATEGY IS WINNING
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The past week in Sweida has revealed an uncomfortable truth: Syria is no longer a unified state. The new rulers aren’t in control.
What we’re seeing is the acceleration of an Israeli agenda deep inside Syrian territory.
The Bloodbath in Sweida
It began on July 11 with a kidnapping: a Druze trader traveling toward Damascus was abducted by Bedouin militiamen. Hours later, a Bedouin assault on a checkpoint followed. Retaliations spiralled, more kidnappings, more clashes.
By July 13, full-scale battles erupted between Druze and Bedouin militias in Sweida.
Syrian security forces were deployed to calm tensions, but locals reported the opposite. Those forces allegedly sided with Sunni Bedouin tribes. Within days, militias were mobilizing nationwide. The “new” Syrian army, loyal to HTS, intervened, reportedly only to commit sectarian massacres themselves.
Ceasefire attempts collapsed one after another. The first came after Israeli airstrikes killed up to 700 government-aligned fighters and even bombed Syria’s Ministry of Defence and presidential palace. Syrians protested in the streets demanding retaliation. Damascus stayed silent.
When Ahmed al-Shara’a finally spoke, after 48 hours of chaos, his speech lasted less than five minutes:
“We won’t be dragged into war.”
Meanwhile, Israel kept bombing. Druze separatist forces, aligned with Sheikh Hikmat al-Hijri, pressed on and entered Bedouin-majority neighborhoods.
Then came the bizarre twist: US Envoy Tom Barrack announced a “ceasefire” between Israel and Syria, even though Syria hadn’t fired a single bullet toward Israel. The only war was between Druze and Bedouin militias.
Hostilities “ended” with a deal: Druze forces keep Sweida City, Bedouins halt their offensive, and a prisoner swap is arranged. Yet clashes continued for two days in the countryside before things stabilized.
The result? Around 1,400 dead, dozens kidnapped, and a government that looked paralyzed.
Israel’s Fingerprints
Let’s be clear: this wasn’t random. While Druze and Bedouin fighters tore each other apart, Israeli-backed Druze factions advanced into Bedouin areas. Israeli bombs weren’t defensive as they claim, they were strategic.
A weakened Syria means a stronger Israel.
For decades, Tel Aviv has dreamed of carving out a Druze enclave in southern Syria as a buffer zone, one more client mini-state under its influence. That dream looks closer than ever.
A Puppet Government in Damascus
Ahmed al-Shara’a sits in Damascus, but he doesn’t rule Syria. He’s a figurehead juggling the demands of the US, EU, Jordan, Turkey, Gulf states, and yes, Israel.
Syria has no sovereignty. Make a wrong move, and the government is punished, or eliminated.
Strategic weapons? Destroyed by Israel.
The old Syrian Arab Army? Dismantled.
What’s left? Fragmented militias with sectarian loyalties.
Bedouin tribes can raise 75,000 fighters. Druze militias, 60,000. The so-called “Syrian state”? Barely 30,000 troops. (A previous deal with the Kurdish-led SDF collapsed.)
Syria today is a patchwork of fiefdoms ruled by local militias, many backed by foreign powers.
Al-Shara’a has pinned his survival on US support and appeasing Israel. These countries will ensure Syria remains weak:
Washington will not allocate the necessary resources for the country's complete economic recovery.
Israel knows Al-Shara’a can’t control the militias, which opens the door for its long-term goal: a Druze state in the south as a loyal buffer.
Israel has already taken the Golan Heights and Mount Hermon
The Bigger Picture: Syria’s survival relies on unity
Southern Syria, the Coastal region, and the North East are all critical for the nation’s survival:
The Coast: Syria’s lifeline to the Mediterranean. Economic stability depends on keeping this region united, which requires the participation of the Alawite minority that dominates the area.
The North East: Syria’s breadbasket and home to its oil and gas. Stabilizing it requires unity with the Kurdish minority.
The South (Sweida & Dara’a): Sweida is home to vital water resources. The birthplace of the 2011 revolt now faces direct Israeli threats.
If Israel is allowed to ethnically cleanse villages, seize water resources, and occupy strategic locations, it will decapitate Syria. Fragment the south, and the whole nation collapses.
This isn’t new. The CIA toppled Syria’s government in 1949, plunging it into decades of chaos. History is repeating, only now, Damascus is willingly surrendering sovereignty to Washington while courting Israel.
Here’s the problem: the only path to unity runs through resistance, aligning with the Axis of Resistance to confront Israel. Instead, al-Shara’a is betting on US protection and IMF loans.
They’re essentially copying Sudan’s playbook.
Sudan overthrew long-time dictator Omar al-Bashir,
Both the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Army appeased Israel, even announcing they would join the Abraham Accords.
Sudan got its US sanctions and State Sponsor of Terrorism designation lifted
Sudan even sought IMF loans to become a typical vassal State.
Sudan collapses into civil war with Israeli meddling and backing both sides.
Sound familiar?
What’s Next?
Axios reports that Syrian, Israeli, and US officials met this Thursday to “secure” southern Syria. Translation: more normalization, more Israeli leverage.
Druze separatists will keep getting Israeli support. HTS will cozy up to Tel Aviv in exchange for survival.
Why does southern Syria matter? Sweida holds vital water resources. If Israel carves it up, Syria is finished. And make no mistake, this is the plan:
Fragment the country
Weaken the army
Empower sectarian militias
Keep Syria too broken ever to challenge Israel again
After watching Syria burn, Lebanese factions, including Christians and Druze, see the wrting on the wall and are rallying behind Hezbollah. They know: disarm now, and Lebanon becomes the next Syria.
The Harsh Truth
Syria isn’t a state right now. It’s a battlefield where foreign powers, Israel first among them, are redrawing the map with Damascus playing right into their hands.
For many Syrians, this reality is hard to accept. Emotions are raw, opinions deeply divided. The war never ended; it just evolved. This is why any commentator on Syria will be ruthlessly attacked online. Having an opinion on Syria is a brave thing to do, no matter how objective you try to be. And until Syria unites, the chaos will continue.
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